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Around SBN: An Explanation For Some Of The Perplexing HOF Snubs

BUST-O-METER: Dan Williams

The NFL Draft is suppose to be a time where teams fill their rosters with young promising players that will ensure success in the future, unfortunately this isn’t always the case. Year in and Year out players are selected and fail to live up to their potential and are labeled BUSTS. These Busts could potentially have a crippling affect on a franchises future. Some of the more famous draft Busts are Ryan Leaf, Akili Smith, Lawrence Phillips, and Ki-Jana Carter. How a bust is determined is too undefined to get into details about.

A prime example is the 6 straight losing seasons following the Bengals failure to develop Akili Smith into a capable NFL starter. Compare that to the 6 straight winning seasons produced by the Chargers after drafting Phillip Rivers in 2004. Of course these players are not solely responsible for their team’s success or failures but they did have a major impact.

After looking over the players projected to go in the first round I was amazed how many gave me an uneasy feeling. I am going to start a weekly BUST-O-METER and examine those players who I feel have the biggest red flags. I encourage that all the readers get involved and suggest potential busts of the week. You can email me by clicking the mail link by my user profile. I also encourage good conversation on the comment sections. Leave comments to help me feel better about a player or continue to add on the pile.

Player:

Dan Williams- DT- Tennessee

BUST-O-METER:

5 out of 10

Thoughts:

Dan Williams is benefiting from the draft process; his stock is on a continuous rise. Williams has the size and ability to play the coveted nose tackle position. The 3-4 defense has taken the NFL by storm and arguably the most important position in the 3-4 defense is the nose tackle. Teams need a big nose tackle with the ability to stuff the run and draw double teams. William’s draft stock has seen the effects of the nose tackle demand. I believe that Williams will be selected early in the draft which is what put him on my bust radar. While Williams shows ability he has no experience playing the nose tackle position. Williams should have a good career but is he worthy of a top 10 pick? The high expectations are what will be Williams’s demise. If he doesn’t develop into a Vince Wilfork, Casey Hampton, or Haloti Ngata he will be considered a bust.

 Possible destinations (team needs) :

San Diego Chargers; Denver Broncos; New York Jets; Miami Dolphins

Dan Williams Scouting Report

Poll
Will you be disappointed if your team selects Dan Williams early to fill your nose tackle need?
Yes
175 votes
No
256 votes
Yes, he is going to be a huge BUST
38 votes

469 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 21 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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going to be a bust i think. But instead just a rotational NT. He should go rd 2 and compete early in his career for top 2 on the depth chart.

by Nick_Keith on Mar 11, 2010 3:04 PM EST reply actions  

Unlike JPP

Big Dan was a productive college player.

Like JPP, he may be going a bit earlier then he “should” (and I’d throw the NYG’s in there..I think he’s a possibility).

I don’t see it with him, I think he’s going to be solid (as with all prospects…baring injury of course)

He’s got a low floor and a high ceiling.

Master of the squeegee

by FreeBradshaw on Mar 11, 2010 3:13 PM EST reply actions  

When was Williams productive before his senior year?

Mocking the Draft: Your NFL Draft source.

by Dan Kadar on Mar 11, 2010 3:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Suspiciously sounds like

another Tennesse d-tackle bust who goes by the name of Justin Harrell.

Maybe in order to understand mankind, we have to look at the word itself: "Mankind". Basically, it's made up of two separate words—"mank" and "ind". What do these words mean? It's a mystery, and that's why so is mankind.
-Jack Handey

by jobe on Mar 12, 2010 2:09 AM EST up reply actions  

THat's on the Packers for being idiots

why would you draft a kid who’s played in 3 games that year?? Packers got what they deserve that Harrell’s injury prone.

Master of the squeegee

by FreeBradshaw on Mar 12, 2010 9:53 AM EST up reply actions  

yeah. he is a good player, but just injury prone.

by bross09 on Mar 12, 2010 4:37 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree. for the Giants, he would be going a bit earlier than he “should”, but with the jets and chargers, it is not too bad. I see him as a late first/early 2nd and that is where he should go. b/c he is a NT, he might go higher. if he falls to the browns in the 2nd, I would be ecstatic.

by bross09 on Mar 11, 2010 5:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I’d slap Buffalo as a possible destination

I was born in Buffalo, and NO, it's not a suburb of New York City

by Ghetts on Mar 11, 2010 3:15 PM EST reply actions  

agreed

"Sure, I've been called a xenophobe, but the truth is, I'm not. I honestly just feel that America is the best country and the other countries aren't as good. That used to be called patriotism."- Eastbound and down...if you like baseball, watch this show it's one of the funniest ever!

by atlantalove on Mar 11, 2010 4:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I dont think he will be a bust but I wouldnt draft him in the top 10.

by Yankees10 on Mar 11, 2010 5:13 PM EST reply actions  

How many DTs coming out of college have any experience at NT?

There aren’t that many college teams that use the 3-4 at all.

by ninjasocks on Mar 11, 2010 7:13 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

Exactly

“While Williams shows ability he has no experience playing the nose tackle position. "

This is always a point people bring up with Williams, and it’s frustrating because it didn’t stop the aforementioned NTs in the league today from becoming as good as they are. It shouldn’t be an issue when looking at a NT prospect.

by Rob4Braves on Mar 11, 2010 7:46 PM EST up reply actions  

It may may be more difficult to scout NTs and 3-4 LBs

but Williams isn’t really at more of a disadvantage than the other NTs that were 4-3 DTs in the past.

by ninjasocks on Mar 11, 2010 9:42 PM EST up reply actions  

i love the bust-o-meter

and i think he doesn’t have the value of a top 20 pick but if he wouldn’t turn into some kinda wilfork, ngata or some of those guys, he wouldn’t be a bust, the team which selected him early will be the fool,
isn’t Dan’s fault

by ratware on Mar 11, 2010 7:37 PM EST reply actions  

The NT is a premium position in the 3-4 defense

NTs are hard to find and they will get drafted early because of it (like LTs and QBs).

by ninjasocks on Mar 11, 2010 9:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Plus 1

2009 NY Phin PhansFantasy League Champion
2009 Best Regular Season Record in NYPPL.
2010 The Jim Mandich NewsFlash Award Winner.

by Patssuck456 on Mar 11, 2010 11:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Kind of a confusing post.

You say he should “have a good career” but will be a bust too? Or are you saying some team will reach to get him? Reaching to get a player and being a bust are two different things. Doesn’t positional value have any implication on value?

by swg777 on Mar 12, 2010 12:17 AM EST reply actions  

Do you think he can play in a 4-3 scheme as a DT?

Cause I’M hearing the Jags might try to go after him? Because the success they have with Knighton (another NT who is good at 3-4 AND 4-3).
What do you think?

Life without knowledge is death in disguise

by Zoltan from Budapest on Mar 12, 2010 2:50 AM EST reply actions  

Depends on the 4-3

Williams would be a poor fit on the type of 4-3 where the DT’s play in a 3-technique all of the time. He’s not a Warren Sapp-type.

Certain 4-3’s do have one or both DT’s play in a 5-technique; they would be a good fit.

I think Jacksonville is trying to get away from having their DT’s play the 5-technique, so I don’t see the Jags as a good fit.

by InsultComicDog on Mar 15, 2010 9:44 AM EDT reply actions  

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