Colts Homer's "My Team's Out So I'm Focused On The Draft" Mock Draft
by Colts Homer on Jan 10, 2011 10:09 PM EST
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PrintColts are out, so screw the rest of the season. It's all about the NFL Draft right now. Now the first 24 picks are set in stone. The draft also changed when Andrew Luck trolled the Panthers and NFL by going back to college even though he is losing his head coach. Compared to the last few mock drafts, this thing is going to be completely different because of that little bastard.
1. Carolina-Nick Fairley/DT/Auburn: Some people will mock the other Auburn star number one, but with Ron Rivera as head coach, I see the Panthers going on the defensive side of the ball. This pick goes to show how weak this draft class is, however. In the 2010 draft, Fairley would have probably been the 3rd defensive tackle prospect behind Ndamukong Suh and Gerald McCoy. However, the Panthers have to go with what they got, and that is a defensive tackle who is great at rushing the passer and getting in the backfield.
2. Denver-Patrick Peterson/CB/LSU: Nick Fairley will probably be number one on the Broncos' board, but Andrew Luck cost them a very good 3-4 DE. They'll have to cover their second biggest need which is a cornerback. Champ Bailey is a free agent and getting older, and the rest of the cornerbacks are uninspiring. It's not who they wanted, but it's hard to complain about a great prospect like Peterson.
3. Buffalo-Cam Newton/QB/Auburn: I have fallen into the Cam Newton hype. I like to think of him as a mentally stable and more accurate Vince Young. I don't know if I would take him this high, but the Cam Newton hype train is going fast. If he wins the national championship tonight, he could very well go number one. Ryan Fitzpatrick is a decent QB, but no one will mistake him for a franchise QB.
4. Cincinnati-AJ Green/WR/Georgia: It's funny how Carson Palmer started to look like a real QB when the childish duo of Terrell Owens and Chad Ochocinco were out with injury. Both of them should be gone which can help the team, but there would still be a lack of quality receivers there. Good thing the best wide receiver prospect since Calvin Johnson falls to them. What a weapon for Carson Palmer.
5. Arizona-Robert Quinn/OLB/North Carolina: I like the picks of Dan Williams and Daryl Washington to help their defense, but they still need to cover the pass rush. Robert Quinn missed the whole year due to NCAA eligibility suspension garbage, but he's still the best pass rusher in this class. Missing a year might put off some teams, but the Cardinals will be desperate for his talent.
6. Cleveland-Marcell Dareus/DE/Alabama: Dareus got surpassed by Nick Fairley this year, but it would be foolish to overlook Dareus. Although he's not a major weapon like Fairley, he's still going to be a damn good defensive end for a 3-4 team. Browns need to get better targets for Colt McCoy, but it is way too high to take Julio Jones or Jonathan Baldwin.
7. San Francisco-Blaine Gabbert/QB/Missouri: You could call me a Blaine Gabbert hater. I just think he is going to bust and bust hard. He's fat and inaccurate, and I did not like what I saw in his bowl game against Iowa. However, I would not doubt Jim Harbaugh with any quarterback. With a new QB guru head coach, you know they are going to draft a quarterback high.
8. Tennessee-Ryan Mallett/QB/Arkansas: This is my pick for now. I believe the Titans will get Kyle Orton, Donovan McNabb, or Kevin Kolb, but I cannot project what teams will do in trades. I am just going with what they have right now, and what they have is a bad group of quarterbacks. No future with this team unless they can get a quarterback. I am a Mallett fan, and I think he could do well with the Titans running game and Kenny Britt.
9. Dallas-Prince Amukamara/CB/Nebraska: Dallas lucks out with Amukamara falling to them. Although he struggled some this season, Amukamara is still a very special player. The Cowboys need a lot of secondary help if they are to surpass Philadelphia and New York in this division.
10. Washington-Da'Quan Bowers/DE-OLB/Clemson: This is a risky pick with him moving from defensive end to outside linebacker, but Da'Quan Bowers is a physically gifted athlete. I am questioning his effort when he suddenly becomes great in his junior year to boost his draft stock. There are some major question marks, but his stats do show that he is ultra-talented.
11. Houston-Brandon Harris/CB/Miami: The Texans secondary is just abysmal. They were historically bad according to Football Outsiders. Bernard Pollard was the only decent player for them, and he is a free agent. Texans could very well go with defensive backs in their first 3 picks in this draft. Brandon Harris surprisingly came out after saying he was staying at Miami, and he's back to being a great prospect. Michael Floyd embarrassed him in the Sun Bowl, but that can't erase the times Harris embarrassed receivers and quarterbacks.
12. Minnesota-Ryan Kerrigan/DE/Purdue: With Ray Edwards possibly on his way out and the top cornerback prospects off the board, defensive end is the biggest need. Kerrigan is a fantastic pass rusher and would look brilliant with Jared Allen on the other end. I don't see the Vikings taking a quarterback in round one. I see them either trading for Orton, Kolb, or McNabb or taking a quarterback in the 2nd round.
13. Detroit-JJ Watt/DE/Wisconsin: The Lions could reach for a cornerback right here, but the Lions do not reach according to need. Detroits go BPA, and in this case it is JJ Watt. Watt made a great decision to go pro, and he will be rewarded by being able to play next to Ndamukong Suh. Watt is a solid pro prospect who is very pro-ready at this moment.
14. St. Louis-Julio Jones/WR/Alabama: This one came down to Justin Blackmon and Julio Jones, and I went with the experience and physical gifts over the unbelievable production. Jones finally broke out this year and looked like the superstar he was hyped to be. The Rams need to give Sam Bradford more targets, and Julio Jones is a pretty big target.
15. Miami-Jake Locker/QB/Washington: Chad Henne was garbage this season before his injuries, and I'm sure the Dolphins lost a lot of trust in him. I am a huge Locker supporter and I think he could be the best quarterback in this entire draft. Sitting behind Henne for a year could really help his progress. Running back is also a need, but that is much easier to cover in later rounds rather than spending a first rounder on Mark Ingram.
16. Jacksonville-Aldon Smith/DE/Missouri: After the hilarious failure of Derrick Harvey and Quentin Groves, the Jaguars are back to drafting defensive ends early. Aldon Smith is a very talented pass rusher who should be better than Harvey and Groves, but that is really not saying much.
17. New England from Oakland-Cameron Heyward/DE/Ohio State: Heyward compares well with JJ Watt, but Heyward made the mistake of coming back to school this year which hurt his draft stock. He could go anywhere from number 16 to the 2nd round. I've liked what I've seen from him so I am putting him here over Cameron Jordan for now. It will be interesting to see where he ends up.
18. San Diego-Cameron Jordan/DE/California: The Chargers are very weak at defensive end. Besides Luis Castillo, the group brings the question "Who???" to mind. Jordan is a perfect fit for the 3-4 defense the Chargers have been so successful with recently.
19. NY Giants-Derek Sherrod/OT/Mississippi State: The Giants can finally kick David Diehl to the inside and give Eli Manning some protection. Sherrod is the best pass blocker in this draft, and the Giants could use a beefier offensive line.
20. Tampa Bay-Adrian Clayborn/DE/Iowa: Clayborn really should have left after last season. In the preseason, he was a definite top 10 prospect, but an off year drops him down to Tampa Bay at 20. Gerald McCoy was a great pick for the Bucs in their attempt to improve their defensive line, but they will need defensive ends as well.
21. Kansas City-Von Miller/OLB/Texas A&M: Tamba Hali had a breakout season and was one of the best pass rushers in the 3-4 defense. He did all of that without any great pass rusher on the other side for him. Miller is very streaky, but he has the potential to be as good as Hali.
22. Indianapolis-Gabe Carimi/OT/Wisconsin: I would be the happiest person alive if this happened. I love Gabe Carimi as a prospect. His run blocking is outstanding and he could really end up being a great pass blocker as well if he improves his technique. I would guarantee that the Colts running game would improve drastically if Carimi is playing LT or RT.
23. Philadelphia-DeMarcus Love/OT-OG/Arkansas: Eagles are a very predictable drafting team. It's basically always offensive line or defensive line. Right here, Love is a perfect fit for the Eagles system and fills a pretty huge need for Philly.
24. New Orleans-Stephen Paea/DT/Oregon State: The Saints could not tackle Marshawn Lynch. This guy had not had a 100 yard rushing game since 2008, and the Saints defense made him look like Walter Payton. Paea would not have let Lynch get up the middle like that. Their defensive line needs complete retooling.
25. Seattle-Drake Nevis/DT/LSU: This was a very tough pick, but the Seahawks do have a very thin defensive line. Nevis is undersized, but he is also a very strong pass rusher and has impressive tackles for loss stats. I considered almost every position from running back to offensive guard to safety, but Nevis stood out right here.
26. Green Bay-Mark Ingram/RB/Alabama: Ingram absolutely plummeted, but he's ending up in a good situation. He'll be playing with Aaron Rodgers and his great passing attack along with sharing carries with Ryan Grant. This pick would have OROY written all over it.
27. NY Jets-Justin Blackmon/WR/Oklahoma State: Either Braylon Edwards or Santonio Holmes will be gone. I feel very safe in saying that. That leaves a big need for a new wide receiver. Justin Blackmon falls far to the Jets and ends up in a great situation. This doesn't cover a huge need, but it would make the Jets offense look pretty damn amazing.
28. Baltimore-Stefen Wisniewski/C/Penn State: Although his last name is obnoxiously hard to spell, Wisniewski is the best interior lineman prospect in this draft. He'll sneak into the first round to help beef up the Ravens offensive line which has suffered in pass blocking as of late.
29. Chicago-Anthony Castonzo/OT/Boston College: For the love of God, the Bears offensive line is horrible. Jay Cutler is going to end up in a full body cast if they don't improve and improve quickly. Castonzo is a great pass blocker who should help keep Cutler upright.
30. Pittsburgh-Nate Solder/OT/Colorado: This huge left tackle is a project, but his size and raw ability fits in perfectly with what the Steelers want to do. Although they drafted Maurkice Pouncey in the first last year, they still need to improve their offensive line.
31. Atlanta-Kyle Rudolph/TE/Notre Dame: Rudy sneaks into the 1st to replace Tony Gonzalez. With Matt Ryan passing to him, Rudolph should keep up his awesome production. I love Kyle Rudolph and I'll be happy to see him go in the first round.
32. New England-Tyron Smith/OT/USC: With Matt Light and Logan Mankins being free agents, the Patriots will need to be thinking about replacements. The Patriots have one of the best offensive lines in the league, but they will need to continue to stockpile talent if they want to continue to be an elite team in the NFL.
33. New England from Carolina-Akeem Ayers/OLB/UCLA
34. Buffalo-Jimmy Smith/CB/Colorado
35. Cincinnati-Allen Bailey/DE/Miami
36. Denver-Corey Liuget/DE/Illinois
37. Cleveland-Jonathan Baldwin/WR/Pittsburgh
38. Arizona-Mike Pouncey/OG/Florida
39. Tennessee-Aaron Williams/CB/Texas
40. Dallas-Rahim Moore/FS/UCLA
41. Washington-Ryan Broyles/WR/Oklahoma
42. Houston-Kenny Tate/FS/Maryland
43. Minnesota-Pat Devlin/QB/Delaware
44. Detroit-Brandon Burton/CB/Utah
45. San Francisco-Phil Taylor/NT/Baylor
46. Denver from Miami-DeAndre McDaniel/S/Clemson
47. St. Louis-Muhammad Wilkerson/DT/Temple
48. Oakland-Curtis Brown/CB/Texas
49. Jacksonville-Deunta Williams/FS/North Carolina
50. San Diego-Martez Wilson/ILB/Illinois
51. Tampa Bay-Bruce Carter/OLB/North Carolina
52. NY Giants-Mark Herzlich/OLB/Boston College
53. Indianapolis-Benjamin Ijalana/OG/Villanova
54. Philadelphia-Ras-I Dowling/CB/Virginia
55. Kansas City-Justin Houston/OLB/Georgia
56. New Orleans-Michael LeShoure/RB/Illinois
57. Seattle-Orlando Franklin/OG/Miami
58. Green Bay-Jeremy Beal/OLB/Oklahoma
59. Baltimore-Johnny Patrick/CB/Louisville
60. San Diego from NY Jets-Torrey Smith/WR/Maryland
61. Chicago-Marvin Austin/DT/North Carolina
62. Pittsburgh-Christian Ballard/DE/Iowa
63. Atlanta-Jabaal Sheard/DE/Pittsburgh
64. New England-John Moffitt/OG/Wisconsin
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Chargers
The Chargers actually do have two decent projects at DE/DT, but yeah point well taken, both are big and mostly run stuffers. Really really like the Jordan pick. Not sure where Smith would fit in offensively, but love the speed and the Chargers are in desperate need of a kick and punter returner. I do not know much about Wilson, but I do know that the Chargers are going to have to bring in talent at ILB this offseason. Great job. First mock I’ve seen with the Chargers correctly picking in the Jets spot.
IMO
Bengals
If Carson does bad with Diva Wr’s why would we want the #1 wr who seems a lil divalike himself?
Hopefully my picture doesn't show my bias.
And the "lack of talent at receiver" isn't as huge as some people say it is.
It might be a need because we’re not sure if Caldwell can hold up as a full-time outside receiver, but Simpson has shown that he’s a beast and he can be the #1.
"I bet that sex Bengals fan is really pissed now." -DT3428
With a new QB guru head coach, you know they are going to draft a quarterback high.
Wouldn’t that mean he’s going to be very picky? So I mean you’d think he’d look straight west coast QB. Cam Newton.. lol
Hopefully my picture doesn't show my bias.
No on Cam Newton
He said he was going to run a WCO and Locker is a good fit. Either that or pick a QB later in the draft.
Kellen Moore is awesome
Katie Mcgrath is our savior
Love Ingram but considering the 49ers already have Frank Gore and Anthony Dixon on the roster, if I were a Niners fan I would much rather they took the chance on Locker being coached up by Harbaugh. Got to get that quarterback.
by project geo on Jan 12, 2011 12:29 AM EST up reply actions
I would be absolutely ecstatic if the Cowboys draft went that way
Amukamara and Moore would be amazing
They would certainly overhaul the secondary quickly.
Still though, I would worry about the lack of help towards our front seven or O-line.
Formerly Cowboyfan729
If I had a nickel for every time the Eagles won the Super Bowl, I would have zero nickels
A tackle? That's different
I like it. I’d then go with Moffit in the 2nd and finally give us a O-line.
I'm getting tired of saying this: Dick LeBeau’s system is so complex very few rookies can make an impact.
"It would be tough for me to care less about their opinion, to be honest with you." Mike Tomlin
meh for the Giants
I can see them drafting Sherrod in the first round (though he seems pretty similar to Beatty to me)
but it feels like a big reach in the second round.
I’d much, much rather have Leshoure or Ras-I-Dowling there.
Buffalo would get some great athletes in this mock, hopefully good players too (it’s not good for anyone when Buffalo’s that bad for this long)
I'm not a fan of Sherrod because I disagree with the explanation
“Sherrod is the best pass blocker in this draft, and the Giants could use a beefier offensive line.”
Sherrod is a skinny kid that plays for a college team that runs 75% of the time. So he has limited pass protection experience. Which was the issue with Beatty. The difference between them is Beatty plays with more strength. Sherrod has long arms but not much force behind them. I can see him more with a ZBS team.
I like seeing Nevis make it into the 1st for once. I think too many people focus on his height.
I'd be okay with the Patriots draft!
I’d take Jordan over Heyward because I think Jordan’s more experienced and is more consistent, but the rest is really good. Each addresses a position of need and I feel like the Patriots want an outside linebacker who can cover, like Ayers. I might prefer Justin Houston or Jeremy Beal over Ayers, but all three have their strengths and weaknesses.
Also, of note, I believe Ryan Broyles said he’s returning to school.
I really enjoy watching Moffitt play. Seems like a great guard.
Some additional notes that aren’t really relevant to this mock:
Martez Wilson reminds me of Dane Fletcher of the Patriots and could be a dark horse selection. He’s versatile, can stop the run and can drop into coverage. The only question is if he could set the edge.
Carimi is really slow. I’m not sure if the Patriots would want him because of how slow he is.
by Richard Hill on Jan 11, 2011 1:36 AM EST up reply actions
outside of PP and possibly Prince
the texans are not going to take another cb.
I'll re-post this here:
I never thought RB was a need for GB anyway, but Starks’ performance confirmed that for me. GB needs o-lineman (a guard, tackle, and center) and another pass-rusher to line up opposite CMIII. A developmental CB would be nice to train as Charles Woodson’s replacement as well, but that’s not a 1st-round need..
Go Suns, Packers, Jays, and Huskers!
And go Shawn Watson and Barney Cotton! Seriously, leave Lincoln. Now.
Dolphins.
Love it.
Great mock.
Writer at MockingTheDraft.com. Does this make me a "Draft Expert"? lol.
by JP 23 on Jan 11, 2011 2:34 AM EST via mobile reply actions
If Sherrod is a pass blocker
the Giants do NOT need that.
Herzlich is as slow as molasses right now. I mean I’d take him in around the 4th or so, the 2nd’s a bit too early considering how much he’s regressed.
Last night, a comedian died in New York. Somebody knows why. Somebody knows
Terrible Mock for detroit
I can’t get past most mocks that mock a running back or a end to detroit…..so let me get this str8. The team that is returning one starter at linebacker(that only starter who missed partsof last year). Should bypass their need at linebacker (2 projected starters careers ended) the worst position on the team…..they should bypass that need and take a D end ?…Detroit who was 4th in the league in sacks should pick a end? And of their 5 very talented DE’s they should just pick this JJ guy and cut one of their current ones?……………..this is a terrible reach for a postion of strenght ….he is not a day one starter….he doesn’t beat Kyle vanden Boseh….he doesn’t beat Cliff Avril out…..so basiclly not only do we need pick a positoin of need we don’t even get somone that for sure can beat out our current starters….infact he may not even beat out Lawrence Jackson (7 sacks in 9 games and he only got on the active roster because KVB was hurt.) McBride (6 sacks as a back up) Willie Young (leading sacker in the pre season)…..who do the lions cut ?…sorry this is a terrible pick …and doesn’t follow suit with the Front office picking the BPA at a postion of need.
I agree with Shank, a DE is not in the cards for Detroit.
Their DEs are the strongest and deepest position on the team. Along with QB and TE, they will be very unlikely to pick a DE in the first round. You are correct about BPA, but in the last two years Mayhew has taken the BPA at a position of need. Which has not been hard, as the Lions had needs all over the place. It will be more difficult this year as they have stockpiled a lot more talent than the previous two years.
We will see how the Lions rank the available players. I could see them trading down, if that option is available, if the players they are interested in are ranked later on their board.
by NorthLeft12 on Jan 11, 2011 11:52 AM EST up reply actions
Colts
I can’t see us going for Carimi with Contanzo still on the board. Carimi projects as a RT in my opinion and Polian has made it very clear that he won’t take a RT in the first. With Sherrod off the board I think Costanzo becomes the easy pick. I could possibly see Love, but he’s not as polished.
No real argument with Ijalana in the 2nd. Just keep picking linemen all day.
Joining those who hope for a change at Stampedeblue, so that the vibrant online Colts community can put its best foot forward.
Carimi
Yeah, it’s a risk to ask him to start at LT in the NFL. He might hold up for most of the plays in the game, but when he occassionally gets beat because he doesn’t have LT feet and agility? That could be sacks, fumbles, maybe even injuries on your quarterback. Now granted I think a team has an excellent failsafe plan, so to speak, in that if he doesn’t work out at LT he could still very likely be an excellent RT, but do you really want to spend a 1st round pick on a starting RT? (Unless you’re Mike Singletary who is now fired.) That’s what teams have to decide.
People may compare him to Jake Long, but Long was/is without question the better athlete of the two.
Plus I’m not crazy about the sort of lackadaisical effort Carimi often exhibits from start to finish. Often times he blocks his guy initially and then kind of stands there. Meh.
But I (and would guess you too invisibulman) understand why Colts fans are pointing to Carimi. They have a general sense of the Draft, a general sense of the prospects, and they see this big hard-working Big Ten tackle who is a good run-blocker on a strong running team at Wisconsin, etcetera. The Colts do need to improve their run-blocking. I understand where they are coming from.
It’s certainly not as bad as the fans who were clamoring for Lendale White leading up to the 2006 Draft (and yes there were many). Unfortunately a vast majority of Colts fans imo are complete idiots. Good posters here though.
by project geo on Jan 11, 2011 12:57 PM EST up reply actions
Yeah, I’m with you on the run blocking situation and love Carimi as a RT. We need a LT out of the first round though. That has the added benefit of letting us move CJ back to guard where he belongs. There is an off chance that Gabe is still there in round two, in which case we should jump all over him. If not, we can snag someone like Darius Morris or Chris Hairston to push Diem on the right side.
Joining those who hope for a change at Stampedeblue, so that the vibrant online Colts community can put its best foot forward.
by invisibulman on Jan 11, 2011 2:43 PM EST up reply actions
Diem should be released regardless imo
He’s not a good player, he doesn’t help the Colts win games (which is the ultimate criteria for Bill Polian), and cutting him saves the Colts $5.4M.
The fact that Chris Collinsworth outright stated that Diem is the best offensive lineman on the Colts during the wild card playoff game tells you how utterly clueless and stupid that buffoon is. (I’d say the best lineman right now is Mike Pollak, when the Colts aren’t being morons and benching him for no valid reason that is.)
For that matter I think the Colts should also cut Kelvin Hayden ($6.105M base salary in 2011) and Bob Sanders ($5.5M base salary in 2011), barring either of those two and their respective agents agreeing to a major restructure of their existing contracts. Now, not sure about the cap escalation re: Hayden and Sanders given the lack of a CBA for 2011 at the moment, but just in terms of salaries, releasing just those 3 overpaid and injury-prone players would save the Colts a whopping $17.005M in actual money.
Money better well spent re-signing Peyton, and perhaps other unrestricted free agents worth keeping like Antonio Johnson and Joseph Addai.
As for Charlie Johnson being back, I don’t expect it. He’s a mediocre at best player who is lacking, anywhere you put him. I don’t see the value of re-signing him other than having an experienced back-up left tackle, I doubt he plays any better than Kyle DeVan at guard and DeVan comes at a fraction of the cost. But Johnson comes cheap enough, I suppose I wouldn’t rule it out.
The Colts need to have at least three offensive tackles on the roster and right now I’m only accounting for Jeff Linkenbach (a viable starting option at RT), so that leaves two more to acquire in the Draft imo. Maybe the Colts really believe in this Joe Reitz fellow they’ve had on the practice squad, but ideally I’d still like to have him be the fourth/fifth tackle at camp and have them all compete so the best 3 tackles win roster spots.
Awful Jaguars mock
“After the hilarious failure of Derrick Harvey” why would we go back to a similar boom or bust player in Aldon Smith. Our GM likes experienced players, not RSos.
Williams is alright.
Personally I like Aldon Smith a LOT more than Harvey coming out, but you raise an excellent point nonetheless.
our gm
wouldnt even draft a junior nonetheless a sophmore.
by rhettchrystal on Jan 11, 2011 8:00 PM EST up reply actions
Not bad reasoning for Denver
although its not that all of the CB’s are uninspiring, it just a lot are young and we aren’t sure just how good they’ll be.
If the Vikings don't
take a QB in the first then I don’t understand taking one in the second. If they go with the future of Kolb, Orton, Young, ect they will need an offensive line to help. Expect them to build that line and get an older experienced QB vet to back up the new young vet and their developmental QB project Joe Webb.
IT IS TIME TO DO WHAT IT TAKES TO DRAFT A FRANCHISE QUARTERBACK.
No more old guys. No more excuses. No more passing up our own great drafted quarterback.
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