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2012 NFL Draft order: Teams in need of QBs rising in top 10

LANDOVER, MD - DECEMBER 11:   Rex Grossman #8 of the Washington Redskins fumbles the ball after being sacked by the New England Patriots at FedExField on December 11, 2011 in Landover, Maryland.  (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)

To the casual observer, the Monday Night game between the Seahawks and Rams was inconsequential. But to NFL Draft followers, it had a strong impact on the draft. The Seahawks' win pushed them down to 14 while the Rams remain barely ahead of the Vikings for the second overall pick.

But the most noticeable thing about this week's rankings update is the teams in need of quarterback help who are rising to the top of the draft. That would be the Redskins, Browns and Dolphins. The Redskins will be the one to follow the most as they'd currently hold the fifth overall overall pick. It should be noted that while Washington and Carolina have the same overall records, the Panthers have the fourth pick because they have a worse conference record.

For those who don't know, draft order is based on win/loss percentage first. That is followed by strength schedule. If both of those are equal, division tiebreakers are accounted for teams in the same division. If they're not in the same division but the same conference, the record in the conference is used. After those criteria it goes to a coin flip.

Unlike some other sites, no opinion goes into my draft order. It is all numerical fact. When putting this together, I use the strength of schedule based on games played so far. To keep it unbiased, the order is not considering the scenario that takes place because of playoff slotting (for instance, the Giants lead the NFC East but only have an 8-5 record).

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1. Indianapolis Colts - 0-13 (.550)
2. St. Louis Rams - 2-11 (.556)
3. Minnesota Vikings - 2-11 (.574)
4. Carolina Panthers - 4-9 (.479)
5. Washington Redskins - 4-9 (.479)
6. Cleveland Browns - 4-9 (.497)
7. Miami Dolphins - 4-9 (.509)
8. Jacksonville Jaguars - 4-9 (.533)
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 4-9 (.550)
10. Kansas City Chiefs - 5-8 (.479)
11. Philadelphia Eagles - 5-8 (.491)
12. Buffalo Bills - 5-8 (.503)
13. Arizona Cardinals - 6-7 (.467)
14. Seattle Seahawks - 6-7 (.485)
15. San Diego Chargers - 6-7 (.509)
16. Dallas Cowboys - 7-6 (.467)
17. Tennessee Titans - 7-6 (.497)
18. New York Giants - 7-6 (.515)
19/20. Chicago Bears - 7-6 (.521)
19/20. Cincinnati Bengals - 7-6 (.521)
* 21. Oakland Raiders - 7-6 (.533)
** 22. Atlanta Falcons - 8-5 (.473)
23. New York Jets - 8-5 (.503)
24/25. Denver Broncos - 8-5 (.515)
24/25. Detroit Lions - 8-5 (.515)
26/27. New England Patriots - 10-3 (.450)
26/27. San Francisco 49ers - 10-3 (.450)
*** 28. New Orleans Saints - 10-3 (.462)
29. Houston Texans - 10-3 (.467)
30. Baltimore Ravens - 10-3 (.497)
31. Pittsburgh Steelers - 10-3 (.509)
32. Green Bay Packers - 13-0 (.444)

* Pick goes to the Cincinnati Bengals for the Carson Palmer trade.

** Pick goes to the Cleveland Browns for the Julio Jones trade.

*** Pick goes to the New England Patriots for the Mark Ingram trade.

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Could be a lot of excitement at the top of the draft this year

I don't start arguments, I provoke thinking. -Me
Alameda Ta’amu NT/DE 2012 Draftee

by BAMFSpecialOps on Dec 13, 2011 9:53 AM EST reply actions  

I have the current order as this:

1. Indianapolis Colts (0-13)
2. Minnesota Vikings (2-11)
3. St. Louis Rams (2-11)
4. Washington Redskins (4-9)
5. Jacksonville Jaguars (4-9)
6. Carolina Panthers (4-9)
7. Miami Dolphins (4-9)
8. Cleveland Browns (4-9)
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-9)

According to current/dynamic SOS, are you using the preseason SOS?

Editor at Hogs Haven - Redskins Blog
Twitter: @RVAparks Check it out for the latest Redskins news and opinions

by Parks Smith on Dec 13, 2011 10:47 AM EST reply actions  

this is more based on projected SOS however

Editor at Hogs Haven - Redskins Blog
Twitter: @RVAparks Check it out for the latest Redskins news and opinions

by Parks Smith on Dec 13, 2011 10:53 AM EST up reply actions  

No, I believe what I’m getting it from, which is ESPN, is just using games played so far. Since the slotting based on record goes by games played so far, it makes to me to do the same with SOS.

Mocking the Draft: Talking NFL Draft all year.

by Dan Kadar on Dec 13, 2011 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

more accurate order..

here’s a link to a spreadsheet the takes into account SOS of all 16 games. it’s more accurate projection of final draft slots. (eg, you show cleve drafting 6th but after they play pit and bal they’ll lose tiebreaks… they actually slot at 8 now.)

http://bit.ly/sQxdTt

by jimkanicki on Dec 13, 2011 12:46 PM EST reply actions  

whoops, use this --> http://bit.ly/t0QdNE

following link sends you to the correct page within the workbook. http://bit.ly/t0QdNE

by jimkanicki on Dec 13, 2011 12:50 PM EST up reply actions  

So teams that absolutely will NOT take a QB in the top 10 are....

STL
MIN
CAR
JAC
TB

Plus teams like IND, CLE and KC that an argument could be made either way. With what looks like 3 top 10 QBs, this could be a very interesting first round.

Go big or go home!!

by average joe blow on Dec 13, 2011 2:17 PM EST reply actions  

Read an article that made an argument for JAX taking a QB.

I wouldn’t consider it fact, but with how bad Gabbert has been and a new owner, I suppose it could happen. As a KC fan, I’m certainly watching this scenario closely. I’ll never root for losses, but if Barkley can somehow fall into Pioli’s lap I’d be thrilled.

by polodude017 on Dec 13, 2011 2:38 PM EST up reply actions  

The top 10 will be interesting

and it will likely move around a good amount still, all these teams have fairly similar records

C'mon, join us, there's plenty of koolaid on the Broncos bandwagon for everyone!

by DBroncs1414 on Dec 13, 2011 2:59 PM EST reply actions  

Rams and Vikings fighting it out to "Suck for Kalil"

"Looks like I picked the wrong week to stop sniffing glue."

by ct17 on Dec 13, 2011 11:53 PM EST reply actions  

Carolina, Washington, Miami, and Jacksonville

All have the possibility of one more win. Cleveland and Tampa Bay? Unlikely. I’m guessing that Cleveland picks at #4 and TB at #5.

Seven straight losses and counting- time to go, Raheem.

by RookTakesYou on Dec 14, 2011 12:13 AM EST reply actions  


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