2011 NFL Draft Needs: Indianapolis Colts
2. Defensive tackle: The rotation of Dan Muir, Fili Moala and Antonio Johnson doesn’t exactly strike fear into the eyes of offenses around the NFL. The Colts can’t solely rely on the talents of Freeney and Mathis for another season. Some first round fits at the position could be Stephen Paea, Drake Nevis and Corey Liuget. My guess is
3. Strong safety: I almost went guard with this need, but a young safety is needed for the future at this position. Even though Sanders has missed a lot of time in the past few years, he’s the perfect example of the kind of impact a good player at this position can have . Along with defensive tackle, improving at safety will help get the Colts defense off the field quicker, which will result in more opportunities for Manning and company. In a weaker safety class,
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Diem is due around $7m next season.
He will not be back. His level of performance last year was woeful, and the organisation needs to have a serious word with itself if they do hold on to him.
Surprisingly enough to some, WR is also a need. We have a very precarious receiving corps in terms of injury, and Reggie Wayne is definitely on a downward slope in terms of his skill set.
Antoine Bethea - the most underrated safety in the NFL.
Ryan Diem is due $5.4M, all base salary
Cutting him (which I think the Colts should do) carries neither financial nor cap penalty.
And I wouldn’t call WR a need, the Colts have Wayne, Collie, Gonzalez, Garcon, and White if they add no one else. Where the concern is is 2012 and beyond, as Wayne, Gonzalez, and Garcon are unrestricted free agents (assuming the eventually-agreed-upon new CBA follows the FA model of the old CBA) after this upcoming season. And you could add Collie’s health thanks to Peyton getting him figuratively killed last season in that uncertainty.
But chances are the Colts will probably re-sign at least one of those receivers, Garcon the most likely although it depends how much he and his agent will ask for. (Even overlooking Bill Polian being used more than a two-dollar whore when it comes to contracts.) What does Garcon ask for, what does Gonzalez ask for? Do the Colts actually make the braindead decision of re-signing older and slower Reggie Wayne? Consider Wayne thinks he’s underpaid under his current contract (which I definitely don’t agree with).
So while it’s not a need, the long-term uncertainty doesn’t prevent the Colts from adding someone as early as the 2nd (although I doubt Leonard Hankerson or Torrey Smith reach that range) who they think can be a potential starter in a year or so.
Statistics do not tell the whole story, not even close.
I disagree about the reason for the hole at Safety.
Sanders has played nine games in the last three seasons. The Colts have filled his position and moved on. Yes, they could use an upgrade, but they certainly have more pressing needs than at Safety. How about at Outside Linebacker? A lot of injuries and a lot of poor play.
"A lot of people have stayed 3 minutes in the ring with the bear, and they didn't do it by going at the bear. They did it by getting on their bike and running around. - Jim Schwartz 2011
Assuming both Clint Session and Philip Wheeler are resigned, then OLB is surprisingly deep. Pat Angerer and Kavell Conner played very well for rookies and are expect to make a sophomore jump. There are also guys like Cody Glenn who are familiar with the system but spent the year on IR.
No worries on Wheeler, TrueBlue, he's signed through 2011 on his rookie contract
Glad to see someone else note Cody Glenn as the 5th linebacker, well done. Between him and Wheeler, the Colts have the depth they need such that linebacker isn’t a need in the Draft. Not unless they really like Bruce Carter, which was a rumor around last year’s Draft, but drafting an injured prospect (torn ACL) who has not worked out would be very atypical for them.
I think Session is gone though, unless it works out that the RFA tenders hold up (I doubt it but we’ll see).
The position up for grabs in the linebacker depth chart is 6th linebacker, which for now is Nate Tripplett but it’s open to competition to any UDFA linebackers the Colts sign.
Statistics do not tell the whole story, not even close.
by project geo on Mar 23, 2011 10:42 PM EDT up reply actions
Need at safety
I wouldn’t say the Colts have filled the strong safety position for the long term and that’s why I listed it. Aaron Francisco was ok at the end of the season, but I don’t see him as a long term answer. You could argue that they have a stronger need for an outside linebacker and that’s what’s great about doing these articles. I appreciate the feedback on the article.
Francisco is awful
he was picked up off the street midseason, he shouldn’t even be the 3rd safety.
Choke/Clutch is the fetishization of the small sample size.
"Man is still the most extraordinary computer of all and women are even cooler" JFK
by shake n bake on Mar 23, 2011 9:26 PM EDT up reply actions
I agree completely
At least Bullitt is solid in run support and average in coverage. Francisco was absolutely terrible in both.
I said it at the time, I didn't think Bullitt was playing well before his season-ending injury
With how he was playing, there wasn’t much difference between him and Francisco imo. Both were/are mediocre at best, bordering on sub-par. And I don’t think Bullitt is all that great in run support either, but maybe the shoulder injury that bothered him in 2009 and the (same/re-aggravated?) season-ending shoulder injury in 2010 contributed to that.
I’d like Bullitt back, but he recently said he’s looking for a long-term deal (that’s no surprise) and chances are he’s looking to be paid as much as possible given the demands of the (strong) safety position and him playing out his rookie contract/UDFA years. I would contently walk away and hope the Colts do the smart thing with him. But he’s a good guy and has experience, if the Colts can keep him reasonably cheap, I’m all for bringing him back.
The key was locking up Bethea and the Colts did that, that was the most important move to make. If they can find an exceptional FS/SS hybrid early in the Draft they should draft him (highly unlikely in this year’s class), but SS itself is an overrated and fungible position in my book.
I’d just stock up on (probably small school but not limited to) guys with great measurables and who are smart enough. Chris Prosinski of Wyoming, Colin Jones of TCU may be such candidates this year.
Colts signed up David Caldwell of William & Mary as an UDFA last year, unfortunately he was injured and placed on IR in mid-August. Hopefully he’s back in full health and the Colts will be able to see what he can do. They also signed Mike Newton of Buffalo, although he’s probably more of a back-up FS, but he was already promoted to the 53-man roster because of the injuries. I don’t think Al Afalava is the sharpest tool in the shed, but I’d give him a continued look.
We wish Jamie Silva well, but we don’t know yet how he is in his recovery from last season’s torn ACL injury (also suffered mid-August).
Statistics do not tell the whole story, not even close.
by project geo on Mar 24, 2011 12:26 AM EDT up reply actions
Sure would have been nice to have a more knowledgeable person write this entry
1. Offensive tackle: Manning is one of the best in the league at getting rid of the ball quickly, but that shouldn’t mask the need for help along the line. The Colts need to find someone to replace Charlie Johnson at the ever so important left tackle position. Ryan Diem is still serviceable on the right side, but they could use an upgrade on that side as well.
Charlie Johnson is just as if not more servicable at left tackle than Ryan Diem is at right tackle. Both are injury-prone sub-par starters who are pitiful at run-blocking, but Diem is a pylon in pass-protecting who in particular allowed some brutal shots on Peyton last year. And in mentioning an upgrade at right tackle, there’s no mention whatsoever of young Jeff Linkenbach (2010 UDFA) who filled-in at both left tackle and right tackle due to injuries last season – including starting at right tackle in the playoff game against the Jets. What sterling evaluation.
Although lacking an elite talent at the position, the Colts will be able to find a good offensive tackle with the 22nd overall pick. The top tackle on a lot of people’s boards is USC’s Tyron Smith and the rising junior most likely won’t make it Indianapolis. Luckily for the Colts, one of these other prospects will be there: Nate Solder, Anthony Castonzo, Gabe Carimi or Derek Sherrod.
It doesn’t matter if Tyron Smith reaches the Colts’ pick as he doesn’t have the intelligence and production (the Colts are the “unlikeliest” team in the entire league to draft a project in the first round) for them to consider drafting him. And if the Colts’ specific purpose is to upgrade at left tackle as you said earlier, because Ryan Diem is “servicable” apparently, that wouldn’t likely include Gabe Carimi who some NFL scouts consider a right tackle only because of his lack of left tackle feet and athleticism. If the person writing had a clue, that is.
The ignorant will point to the fact that Carimi plays in the Big Ten and that Bill Polian loves Big Ten players. Polian who loves Big Ten players so much that he passed on Beanie Wells, Shonn Greene, and Rodger Saffold to draft deservingly higher-rated players in Donald Brown and Jerry Hughes the last 2 years in the 1st round. Again, the ignorant.
2. Defensive tackle: The rotation of Dan Muir, Fili Moala and Antonio Johnson doesn’t exactly strike fear into the eyes of offenses around the NFL. The Colts can’t solely rely on the talents of Freeney and Mathis for another season. Some first round fits at the position could be Stephen Paea, Drake Nevis and Corey Liuget. My guess is Indianapolis will address this position in the second round and some possibilities there could be: Marvin Austin, Jarvis Jenkins and Allen Bailey.
In terms of pure need, defensive tackle is the most prominent because Daniel Muir and Antonio Johnson are unrestricted free agents, unless the RFA tenders in the absence of a new CBA are upheld for this season.
Drake Nevis isn’t a first round or second round consideration for the Colts, he doesn’t have the intelligence. Similarly so with Allen Bailey, who additionally has poor explosion off the snap and is a terrible fit to fill the need at starter if that’s the goal. Marvin Austin isn’t a second round consideration, which his history, his concerns, and his lack of production. That these are suggestions, especially Austin, show how little the writer knows about the Colts.
3. Strong safety: I almost went guard with this need, but a young safety is needed for the future at this position. Even though Sanders has missed a lot of time in the past few years, he’s the perfect example of the kind of impact a good player at this position can have . Along with defensive tackle, improving at safety will help get the Colts defense off the field quicker, which will result in more opportunities for Manning and company. In a weaker safety class, Tyler Sash of Iowa and Joe Lefeged of Rutgers might be options for Indianapolis in the second or third rounds.
At least one thing in this entry is right on the head, strong safety is a bigger need than guard.
In terms of pure need, strong safety is definitely among the top three. Because the Colts have released Bob Sanders, Melvin Bullitt is a free agent (pending RFA tender upheld as above, which isn’t likely), Aaron Francisco is a free agent, and Jamie Silva is recovering from a torn ACL injury. So the Colts as of right now are looking as Al Afalava as their starter.
However the issue is the idea of the Colts addressing strong safety early. Strong safety is a fungible position, like runningback on offense, given the physical demands and the propensity for injury. It’s often not worth investing big money or early picks into, something the Colts learned the hard way after the Bob Sanders’ con job. And the Colts proved it all last year making the playoffs with Aaron Francisco. Who they can easily re-sign and is familiar with the defense as he’s been present both years in Larry Coyer’s defense.
If there were a great prospect with great speed and athleticism to consider in the 2nd round, like say Taylor Mays last year or Bob Sanders in his draft year, then maybe you look at strong safety early. But that’s not the case this year with this pitiful safety class. Tyler Sash is a nice little college player but he lacks the athleticism, when he already wasn’t known for being the most fearsome tackler. He’s going to fall farther than people currently expect, and maybe the Colts do draft him in the 6th round, but certainly not the 3rd which is a ridiculous suggestion. Which is par for the course in this written entry.
Statistics do not tell the whole story, not even close.
Thank you
Yes you figured me out, I don’t work for the Colts front office!
You’re entitled to your opinion, as am I and that’s why I’m writing these articles. I’m an NFL fan with a writing background and I’m not claiming to be an expert. I don’t watch every NFL game and I’m not a professional scout, my thoughts are formed from what I’ve seen, heard or read.
I appreciate the feedback, but I think you’re a little off base with your comments. Your not reading articles from Mel Kiper, Mike Mayock or a former NFL front office employee in this section.
Like I said you’re entitled to an opinion, but I doubt your a professional NFL talent evaluator so why are your thoughts so much better than anyone else that has posted on this story?
I enjoyed the write-up
and Geo went above and beyond on the critiscm
"We feel very strongly that our best policy is to draft the best player. This isn't fantasy football." - Ted Thompson
by Steve_Chiefs on Mar 23, 2011 10:34 PM EDT up reply actions
I agree with most everything you said, but damn
you didn’t have to be so mean about it.
by Naptime! on Mar 23, 2011 11:20 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
this
Choke/Clutch is the fetishization of the small sample size.
"Man is still the most extraordinary computer of all and women are even cooler" JFK
by shake n bake on Mar 23, 2011 11:35 PM EDT up reply actions
yeah.
elitism gets old fast and it’s funny that any fan thinks they are spot on with an NFL’s teams methodology. And I lol’ed at his faulty sig.
by Lolmoarpl0x on Mar 24, 2011 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions
Right on the Topics, just missed on the details...
LT is obviously the biggest need. Agree with you that Costanzo and Sherrod are more likely than Smith, Solder or Carimi due to the reasons you mentioned.
I think there is a lot of debate even within the Colts community how high a priority DT is. I could see us going DT as high as the 2nd round or not at all. Moala played reasonably well last season and the Colts have been very reluctant to go after a heavyweight run stuffer at the other spot. It could happen with a guy like Paea or Fua this year, but if the right guy isn’t on the board they may pass all together and re-sign Muir and/or AJ.
Strong safety is a fungible position, like runningback on offense, given the physical demands and the propensity for injury. It’s often not worth investing big money or early picks into
Completely disagree with this statement. Aside from DE, I think SS is the most important player in the Colts defensive system. (Can make a case for MLB, but I stand by it.) I think it is this very reason that caused them to stay with Sanders for so long. Bullitt is a good backup but is not acceptable as a starter and the other guys barely warrant a roster spot. Were this a better SS class I could see the Colts going there in the 1st round, but I would consider it a minor upset if they haven’t pulled a safety off the board by round 3. In spite of your evaluation of him, Tyler Sash in round TWO would not surprise me at all; in fact I would say the odds are better than most.
Joining those who hope for a change at Stampedeblue, so that the vibrant online Colts community can put its best foot forward.
by invisibulman on Mar 24, 2011 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions
Touching a lot of bases here, but hey, Opening Day is just a few days away
I think there is a lot of debate even within the Colts community how high a priority DT is. I could see us going DT as high as the 2nd round or not at all. Moala played reasonably well last season and the Colts have been very reluctant to go after a heavyweight run stuffer at the other spot. It could happen with a guy like Paea or Fua this year, but if the right guy isn’t on the board they may pass all together and re-sign Muir and/or AJ.
1. Existing DT aka Need?
Maybe the draft changes things, but I do think the Colts will end up re-signing one of Daniel Muir and Antonio Johnson. (Once the CBA/free agency fiasco is finally sorted out, obviously.) Not that the Colts wouldn’t like to upgrade, they certainly can and I’m sure they would like to, but they’ll at least stick with someone that can start until they can find that upgrade.
2. Colts spend early/mid pick on 1-tech?
The Colts did spend their 2009 4th round compensatory pick on Michigan DT Terrance Taylor. It was a terrible pick because he was a terrible player (I watched him a lot his senior year and didn’t like him at all), but they took the chance and drafted him in hopes of him being a potential run-stuffing 1-tech. Still think the best chance for it was for him to put weight back on, but regardless, it didn’t pan out. So there is some recent precedent, and I do expect the Colts to draft another DT in this year’s Draft.
Unless they really are confident they can re-sign both Muir and Johnson. They need two guys at the 1-tech role, for depth and rotational purposes. And it’s hard to forget how teams ran over the Colts in 2010.
3. 1st round DT?
My personal guess right now is that Sherrod and Castonzo are the tackle prospects for the Colts, but ignoring the particular names, if it works out that the Colts’ desired OT prospects are all gone by their pick, I expect the next names on their board to be Stephen Paea and Corey Liuget. And while Liuget seems like the hotter prospect right now, I’d probably give the edge to Paea because he’d be perfect next to Moala. Of course I’d be happy with either of the two.
4. Ideally?
Taking one of the offensive tackles in the 1st round and trading up in the 2nd to get Paea, if he can get within striking distance. I’d say that’s ideal. I was wondering the other day about this, thinking maybe the Colts’ 2nd rd pick (#53) + 4th rd pick for Denver’s 2nd rd pick (#46)?
Side note: I’m spoiling my updated Colts mock with this, but what the hell. While we’re talking Colts’ 2nd round pick, I’ve noticed in almost every mock Stefen Wisniewski falling past the Colts’ 2nd round pick. I can’t believe that he would get past the Colts, not with his smarts, his character, his physical play, his production, and his versatility (guard or center). They could trade up to get him, even. I do think upgrading their offensive line is their top goal this offseason, and Wisniewski would be a great addition. But we’ll see if he actually falls that far, I’m having a hard time believing it.
Statistics do not tell the whole story, not even close.
How about QB
Could they use an upgrade over “the other Manning”? :-)
"Good, bad, I'm the guy with the gun."
But why would be when we have Curtis Painter?
Joining those who hope for a change at Stampedeblue, so that the vibrant online Colts community can put its best foot forward.
by invisibulman on Mar 24, 2011 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions

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